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Oscars Preview 2026

Writer: Thomas Duncan
Thomas Duncan
Mar 8
6 min read

Best Picture:

Nominees:

  • Bugonia (Focus Features)

  • F1 (Apple)

  • Frankenstein (Netflix)

  • Hamnet (Focus Features)

  • Marty Supreme (A24)

  • One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)

  • The Secret Agent (Neon)

  • Sentimental Value (Neon)

  • Sinners (Warner Bros.)

  • Train Dreams (Netflix)

Will Win: Sinners (Tom)/One Battle After Another (Dana)


Tom Rankings:

  1. Hamnet

  2. F1

  3. Train Dreams

  4. Frankenstein

  5. Bugonia

  6. One Battle After Another

  7. Sentimental Value

  8. Sinners

  9. Marty Supreme

  10. The Secret Agent


Dana Rankings:

  1. Hamnet

  2. One Battle After Another

  3. Sentimental Value

  4. Train Dreams

  5. Sinners

  6. F1

  7. Bugonia

  8. Marty Supreme

  9. Frankenstein

  10. The Secret Agent


Best Actress:

Nominees:

  • Jessie Buckley in Hamnet

  • Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

  • Kate Hudson in Song Sung Blue

  • Renate Reinsve in Sentimental Value

  • Emma Stone in Bugonia

Will Win: Jessie Buckley (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Jessie Buckley (Tom/Dana)


Best Director:

Nominees:

  • Hamnet, Chloé Zhao

  • Marty Supreme, Josh Safdie

  • One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson

  • Sentimental Value, Joachim Trier

  • Sinners, Ryan Coogler

Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Ryan Coogler (Tom)/Paul Thomas Anderson (Dana)


Best Actor:

Nominees:

  • Timothée Chalamet in Marty Supreme

  • Leonardo DiCaprio in One Battle After Another

  • Ethan Hawke in Blue Moon

  • Michael B. Jordan in Sinners

  • Wagner Moura in The Secret Agent

Will Win: Michael B. Jordan (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Michael B. Jordan (Tom)/Ethan Hawke (Dana)


Best Score:

Nominees:

  • Bugonia; Jerskin Fendrix

  • Frankenstein; Alexandre Desplat

  • Hamnet; Max Richter

  • One Battle After Another; Jonny Greenwood

  • Sinners; Ludwig Goransson

Will Win: Sinners (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Sinners (Tom/Dana)


Best International Film:

Nominees:

  • Brazil, The Secret Agent

  • France, It Was Just an Accident

  • Norway, Sentimental Value

  • Spain, Sirat

  • Tunisia, The Voice of Hind Rajab

Will Win: Sentimental Value (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: It Was Just an Accident (Tom/Dana)


Best Cinematography:

Nominees:

  • Frankenstein, Dan Laustsen

  • Marty Supreme, Darius Khondji

  • One Battle After Another, Michael Bauman

  • Sinners, Autumn Durald Arkapaw

  • Train Dreams, Adolpho Veloso

Will Win: One Battle After Another (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Train Dreams (Tom/Dana)


In Memoriam Tiebreaker:

  • Tom: Robert Duvall

  • Dana: Robert Redford


Best Live Action Short:

Nominees:

  • Butcher’s Stain (Tel Aviv University Steve Tisch School of Film and Television); Meyer Levinson-Blount and Oron Caspi

  • A Friend of Dorothy; Lee Knight and James Dean

  • Jane Austen’s Period Drama; Julia Aks and Steve Pinder

  • The Singers; Sam A. Davis and Jack Piatt

  • Two People Exchanging Saliva; Alexandre Singh and Natalie Musteata

Will Win: Two People Exchanging Saliva (Tom)/Butcher's Stain (Dana)

Should Win: A Friend of Dorothy (Tom/Dana)


Best Visual Effects:

Nominees:

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash; Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

  • F1; Ryan Tudhope, Nicolas Chevallier, Robert Harrington and Keith Dawson

  • Jurassic World Rebirth; David Vickery, Stephen Aplin, Charmaine Chan and Neil Corbould

  • The Lost Bus; Charlie Noble, David Zaretti, Russell Bowen and Brandon K. McLaughlin

  • Sinners; Michael Ralla, Espen Nordahl, Guido Wolter and Donnie Dean

Will Win: Avatar: Fire and Ash (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: F1 (Tom/Dana)


Best Sound:

Nominees:

  • F1; Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta

  • Frankenstein; Greg Chapman, Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira, Christian Cooke and Brad Zoern

  • One Battle After Another; José Antonio García, Christopher Scarabosio and Tony Villaflor

  • Sinners; Chris Welcker, Benjamin A. Burtt, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor and Steve Boeddeker

  • Sirat; Amanda Vil

Will Win: F1 (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: F1 (Tom/Dana)


Best Documentary Feature:

Nominees:

  • The Alabama Solution (HBO Documentary Films); Andrew Jarecki and Charlotte Kaufman

  • Come See Me in the Good Light (Apple); Ryan White, Jessica Hargrave, Tig Notaro and Stef Willen

  • Cutting Through Rocks; Sara Khaki and Mohammadreza Eyni

  • Mr. Nobody Against Putin (PINK); Nominees to be determined

  • The Perfect Neighbor (Netflix); Geeta Gandbhir, Alisa Payne, Nikon Kwantu and Sam Bisbee

Will Win: The Perfect Neighbor (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: The Perfect Neighbor (Dana)


Best Documentary Short:

Nominees:

  • All the Empty Rooms (Netflix); Joshua Seftel and Conall Jones

  • Armed Only With a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud (HBO); Craig Renaud and Juan Arredondo

  • Children No More: “Were and Are Gone” (Sky); Hilla Medalia and Sheila Nevins

  • The Devil Is Busy (HBO); Christalyn Hampton and Geeta Gandbhir

  • Perfectly a Strangeness (Second Sight Pictures); Alison McAlpine

Will Win: All the Empty Rooms (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Armed Only With a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud (Tom)/All the Empty Rooms (Dana)


Best Original Song:

Nominees:

  • “Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless; Music and Lyric by Diane Warren

  • “Golden” from KPop Demon Hunters; Music and Lyric by EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seon and Teddy Park

  • “I Lied to You” from Sinners; Music and Lyric by Raphael Saadiq and Ludwig Göransson

  • “Sweet Dreams of Joy” from Viva Verdi!; Music and Lyric by Nicholas Pike

  • “Train Dreams” from Train Dreams; Music by Nick Cave and Bryce Dessner, Lyric by Nick Cave

Will Win: "Golden" from KPop Demon Hunters (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: "Golden" from KPop Demon Hunters (Tom)/"Train Dreams" from Train Dreams (Dana)


Best Production Design:

Nominees:

  • Frankenstein (Netflix); Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

  • Hamnet (Focus Features); Production Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton

  • Marty Supreme (A24); Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis

  • One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.); Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino

  • Sinners (Warner Bros.); Production Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Monique Champagne

Will Win: Frankenstein (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Frankenstein (Tom/Dana)


Best Supporting Actress:

Nominees:

  • Elle Fanning in Sentimental Value

  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas in Sentimental Value

  • Amy Madigan in Weapons

  • Wunmi Mosaku in Sinners

  • Teyana Taylor in One Battle After Another

Will Win: Amy Madigan (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Tom)/Amy Madigan (Dana)


Best Film Editing:

Nominees:

  • F1; Stephen Mirrione

  • Marty Supreme; Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie

  • One Battle After Another; Andy Jurgensen

  • Sentimental Value; Olivier Bugge Coutté

  • Sinners; Michael P. Shawver

Will Win: One Battle After Another (Tom)/F1 (Dana)

Should Win: F1 (Tom/Dana)


Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Nominees:

  • Frankenstein; Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey

  • Kokuho; Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu

  • Sinners; Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry

  • The Smashing Machine; Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein

  • The Ugly Stepsister; Thomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg

Will Win: Frankenstein (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Frankenstein (Tom/Dana)


Best Adapted Screenplay:

Nominees:

  • Bugonia; Screenplay by Will Tracy

  • Frankenstein; Written for the Screen by Guillermo del Toro

  • Hamnet; Screenplay by Chloé Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell

  • One Battle After Another; Written by Paul Thomas Anderson

  • Train Dreams; Screenplay by Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar

Will Win: One Battle After Another (Tom)/Train Dreams (Dana)

Should Win: Bugonia (Tom)/Train Dreams (Dana)


Best Original Screenplay:

Nominees:

  • Blue Moon; Written by Robert Kaplow

  • It Was Just an Accident; Written by Jafar Panahi; Script collaborators Nader Saïvar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian

  • Marty Supreme; Written by Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie

  • Sentimental Value; Written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

  • Sinners; Written by Ryan Coogler

Will Win: Sinners (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: It Was Just an Accident (Tom)/Blue Moon (Dana)


Best Costume Design:

Nominees:

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash; Deborah L. Scott

  • Frankenstein; Kate Hawley

  • Hamnet; Malgosia Turzanska

  • Marty Supreme; Miyako Bellizzi

  • Sinners; Ruth E. Carter

Will Win: Frankenstein (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Marty Supreme (Tom)/Hamnet (Dana)


Best Animated Short:

Nominees:

  • Butterfly (Sacrebleu Productions); Florence Miailhe and Ron Dyens

  • Forevergreen; Nathan Engelhardt and Jeremy Spears

  • The Girl Who Cried Pearls (National Film Board of Canada); Chris Lavis and Maciek Szczerbowski

  • Retirement Plan; John Kelly and Andrew Freedman

  • The Three Sisters (Polydont Films/Rymanco Ventures); Konstantin Bronzit

Will Win: The Girl Who Cried Pearls (Tom)/Butterfly (Dana)

Should Win: Butterfly (Tom)/Forevergreen (Dana)


Best Animated Feature:

Nominees:

  • Arco; Ugo Bienvenu, Félix de Givry, Sophie Mas and Natalie Portman

  • Elio; Madeline Sharafian, Domee Shi, Adrian Molina and Mary Alice Drumm

  • KPop Demon Hunters; Maggie Kang, Chris Appelhans and Michelle L.M. Wong

  • Little Amélie or the Character of Rain; Maïlys Vallade, Liane-Cho Han, Nidia Santiago and Henri Magalon

  • Zootopia 2; Jared Bush, Byron Howard and Yvett Merino

Will Win: KPop Demon Hunters (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Zootopia 2 (Tom/Dana)


Best Supporting Actor:

Nominees:

  • Benicio Del Toro in One Battle After Another

  • Jacob Elordi in Frankenstein

  • Delroy Lindo in Sinners

  • Sean Penn in One Battle After Another

  • Stellan Skarsgard in Sentimental Value

Will Win: Sean Penn (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Sean Penn (Tom/Dana)


Best Casting:

Nominees:

  • Hamnet; Nina Gold

  • Marty Supreme; Jennifer Venditti

  • One Battle After Another; Cassandra Kulukundis

  • The Secret Agent; Gabriel Domingues

  • Sinners; Francine Maisler

Will Win: Sinners (Tom/Dana)

Should Win: Sinners (Tom)/Marty Supreme (Dana)

1 Comment


davidthom.a.s.282.55
Aug 12

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